تحلیل و تبیین رابطه همبستگی شاخص توسعه انسانی و شاخص توسعه پایدار و تطبیق این شاخص‌ها در ایران

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 استادیار، گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی دانشگاه تهران

2 کارشناس، امور برنامه‌ریزی، نظارت و آمایش سرزمین سازمان برنامه‌وبودجه کشور

3 رئیس‌ گروه محیط‌زیست، امور برنامه‌ریزی، نظارت و آمایش سرزمین سازمان برنامه‌وبودجه کشور

چکیده

شاخص اهداف توسعه پایدار در سال‌های اخیر توجه بسیاری از محققان و سیاست‌گذاران را به خود جلب کرده است. شاخص توسعه انسانی نیز که بر اساس چند شاخص مهم و کلیدی محاسبه می‌شود اگرچه یک روش قدیمی‌تر برای مقایسه کشورها در بعد سلامت و آموزش به حساب می‌آید اما همچنان در بین محققان و سیاست‌گذاران یک شاخص موردقبول است. هدف از این مطالعه بررسی وضعیت ایران در شاخص توسعه انسانی و شاخص اهداف توسعه پایدار و نیز بررسی همبستگی این دو شاخص بر اساس اطلاعات تمام کشورها است. در این تحقیق از روش همبستگی پیرسون و رگرسیون خطی در نرم‌افزار SPSS به‌منظور بررسی ارتباط بین دو شاخص استفاده شده است. نتایج نشان می‌دهد که ارتباط معنی‌دار و قوی بین این دو شاخص برقرار است. در بررسی همبستگی بین اهداف 17 گانه اهداف توسعه پایدار با شاخص توسعه انسانی مشخص شد که اهداف 15 و 17 ارتباط معنی‌داری با شاخص توسعه انسانی ندارند. درحالی‌که ارتباط دیگر اهداف با شاخص توسعه انسانی معنی‌دار بود. به‌طورکلی می‌توان نتیجه‌گیری کرد بین شاخص توسعه انسانی و شاخص اهداف توسعه پایدار ارتباط معنی‌دار قوی وجود دارد. درحالی‌که آرمان 17 با هیچ‌کدام از زیر شاخص‌ها دیگر و شاخص توسعه انسانی ارتباط ندارد. یکی از نقطه‌ضعف‌های اهداف توسعه پایدار مدنظر قرار دادن آرمان‌های بلند پروازانه است و این موضوع بسیج مردم و حکمرانان را برای رسیدن به تمام این اهداف ایده‌آل سخت خواهد کرد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Analysis and Explanation of Correlation between Human Development and Sustainable Development Indices and Adaptation of these Indices in Iran

نویسندگان [English]

  • Mehdi Pendar 1
  • Sajad Bahrami 2
  • Farzam Pourasghar Sangachin 3
1 Assistant Professor of Economic and Agricultural Development, University of Tehran
2 Expert, Affair of Planning, Supervision and Spatial Planning, Budget and Planning Organization, Tehran
3 Head of Environment, Affair of Planning, Supervision and Spatial Planning, Budget and Planning
چکیده [English]

The index of sustainable development goals have attracted attention of many researchers and policy makers in recent years. The Human Development Index, which is based on several key indicators, although an older approach to comparing countries is often considered as a health and education issue, but an indicator is still acceptable amongst researchers and policymakers. The purpose of this study is to survey the status of Iran in the human development index and the indicators of sustainable development goals and also analysis the correlation between these two indicators based on the information of all countries. In this research, Pearson correlation and linear regression were used in SPSS software to verify the relationship between two indicators. The results show that there is a meaningful and strong correlation between these two indicators. In the survey of correlation between the 17 goals of SDGs and HDI, it is clear that goals of 15 and 17 do not have a meaningful relationship with the human development index. While other communication goals were meaningful with the human development index. In general, it can be concluded that there is a significant relationship between the human development index and the index of sustainable development goals. One of the drawbacks of the SDGs is the ambitious Goals that will make it hard to mobilize people and rulers to achieve all these ideal goals.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Human Development Index
  • Sustainable Development Goals
  • Environment

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فصلنامه علمی آموزش محیط زیست و توسعه پایدار
دوره 9، شماره 1
1399
صفحه 109-132

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